China’s economy is projected to grow by 4.8% in 2025, outpacing earlier forecasts despite broader regional headwinds, according to the World Bank’s latest East Asia and Pacific Economic Update. The revised figure marks an upward adjustment from April’s 4.0% prediction, with 2026 growth now estimated at 4.2%.
The report highlights robust export performance and resilient manufacturing activity as key drivers of this optimism. However, analysts caution that slowing export demand, potential fiscal tightening, and structural reforms could temper momentum in the medium term.
Across the East Asia and Pacific region, growth is similarly forecast to reach 4.8% in 2025 – a notable rebound from previous projections. This comes as regional economies navigate shifting global trade patterns and evolving monetary policies.
For business leaders and investors, the data signals China’s continued role as a regional economic anchor. Researchers note the importance of monitoring policy responses to demographic shifts and technological transformation, which will shape long-term growth trajectories.
