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China’s Property Market Sees Recovery as First-Tier Cities Lead Rebound

The property market in the Chinese mainland is beginning to show signs of recovery, although the rebound remains uneven across different regions. While demand is returning strongly to major first-tier cities, lower-tier cities continue to grapple with excess housing supply.

First-tier cities are experiencing renewed activity as buyers return to the market following a period of hesitation. Shanghai has emerged as a leader in this recovery, demonstrating particularly strong performance. According to data from the city's real estate trading center, pre-owned home transactions surged to 31,215 in March, marking the highest monthly level since March 2021.

This positive momentum continued into April, with transactions reaching nearly 29,000—a 22.3% increase year-on-year and the highest figure for April in a decade. Price stabilization is also evident, with official data recording a 0.4% increase in pre-owned home prices in March.

The trend is not limited to Shanghai; Beijing, Guangzhou, and Shenzhen also reported gains in both transaction volumes and prices throughout March and April, signaling a broader recovery trend among top-tier urban centers.

Confidence is also gradually returning to the new home market. Prices in first-tier cities edged up by 0.2% in March, reversing the flat growth seen in February and the decline recorded in January. While the increase is modest, it suggests a steady return of buyer confidence in the region's most influential cities.

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