As U.S.-mediated peace negotiations between Russia and Ukraine gain momentum this week, fundamental disagreements over territorial claims and security guarantees continue to cloud prospects for resolution. With a U.S. delegation set to arrive in Moscow and parallel talks planned with Ukrainian representatives, diplomatic efforts face critical tests in November 2025.
Russian President Vladimir Putin acknowledged during a press conference in Bishkek that while Washington's revised 28-point proposal shows partial consideration of Moscow's positions, "some things are fundamental" regarding security arrangements. He emphasized the need for precise diplomatic language to address Russia's stated non-aggression intentions toward Europe.
Ukrainian officials maintain cautious optimism, with Presidential Office Head Andriy Yermak stating on Telegram that Kyiv's team is preparing for "constructive dialogue" aimed at achieving tangible progress. However, three core issues remain sticking points: control of the Donbas region, limitations on Ukraine's military capacity, and NATO membership prospects.
Chen Yu from the China Institutes of Contemporary International Relations highlighted the complexity of proposed compromises: "The U.S. mediation attempt to create demilitarized zones in contested areas presents new challenges. Both sides view territorial control as vital to national security interests."
Analysts note particular difficulty in reconciling Russia's demand for legal guarantees against NATO expansion with Ukraine's aspiration to preserve future membership options. The proposed cap of 600,000 Ukrainian troops – exceeding pre-conflict levels by 150% – also faces Moscow's skepticism regarding its "demilitarization" objectives.
As diplomatic teams prepare for this week's crucial meetings, the success of negotiations appears contingent on bridging these strategic divides while maintaining domestic political support in all participating nations.
