The APEC region is projected to achieve 3.1% economic growth in 2025, according to the latest APEC Regional Trends Analysis, marking a slight upward revision from previous estimates. The report highlights resilient trade flows and surging demand for high-tech goods as key drivers of this improved forecast.
First-half 2025 trade data shows robust expansion, with export values climbing 6.5% and imports rising 6.1% year-on-year. However, analysts caution that export growth could slow to just 1% in 2026 as persistent trade tensions and rising public debt create headwinds.
Balancing Growth and Stability
While the short-term outlook appears positive, the report warns of potential cooling to 2.9% growth in 2026. General government gross debt across APEC members is projected to surpass 110% of GDP by that year – a concerning escalation from earlier predictions.
"Cooperation remains our critical anchor," the analysis emphasizes, urging members to maintain predictable policies and open dialogue. As temporary growth drivers fade, the report stresses the need for coordinated action to address structural challenges and sustain regional economic momentum.
