Poland’s $11 billion furniture export industry, the third-largest globally after the Chinese mainland and Germany, faces unprecedented challenges as proposed U.S. tariffs threaten to disrupt trade flows and jeopardize tens of thousands of jobs. With the U.S. accounting for a significant share of Poland’s overseas sales, industry leaders warn of cascading economic consequences.
Family Businesses in the Crosshairs
At NOTI, a family-run furniture manufacturer near Poznań, uncertainty looms. CEO Dominik Czylkowski told CGTN the potential 50% tariffs could upend two decades of growth: "The U.S. market is crucial—we must find solutions for our customers and employees." The company supports 150 workers, reflecting the sector’s role as a cornerstone of regional economies.
Broader Economic Ripples
Polish Prime Minister Donald Tusk estimates new tariffs could slash GDP by 0.43%, highlighting risks beyond manufacturing. While U.S. trade policies under President Donald Trump prioritize domestic industries, Polish exporters express surprise at the timing. Czylkowski noted: "Many expected improved business conditions post-U.S. elections, but challenges have intensified."
Diverging Perspectives on Impact
Jozef Szyszka of Poznań’s MEBLE POLSKA furniture fair argues the $500 million U.S. market exposure is manageable: "Producers can pivot to other regions." However, industry-wide calls for diplomatic solutions persist, with diversification to Asian and Middle Eastern markets emerging as a strategic priority.
As negotiations continue, Poland’s furniture sector—a symbol of European manufacturing resilience—faces a pivotal moment in balancing global partnerships and economic sovereignty.
