As high-stakes trade talks between the Chinese mainland and the United States continue in France this week, renowned Yale historian Odd Arne Westad proposes a framework for "managed competition" to stabilize relations. The March 14-17 negotiations mark the first major economic dialogue between the two powers in 2026.
Westad, an authority on Cold War dynamics, argues that Washington and Beijing can avoid confrontation through "limited compromises" on critical issues like technology governance and climate cooperation. "This isn’t about ideological alignment," he emphasizes, "but about creating guardrails to prevent accidental escalation."
The talks come as overseas investors show renewed interest in Asian markets, particularly in renewable energy sectors where US-China collaboration could drive global decarbonization efforts. Analysts suggest progress this week could influence key APEC members' strategies ahead of November’s APEC Leaders’ Meeting.
For business professionals tracking cross-strait ties, Westad’s model offers a potential roadmap: compartmentalizing disputes while expanding commercial partnerships in third markets. Recent semiconductor investments in Southeast Asia demonstrate this pragmatic approach already taking shape.
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Odd Arne Westad: Managed competition between China, US is possible
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