U.S. President Donald Trump is intensifying efforts to broker a ceasefire in the Ukraine conflict, signaling a potential strategic pivot toward addressing escalating tensions in the Middle East. Analysts suggest Washington seeks to freeze hostilities in Eastern Europe to redirect resources, particularly after recent U.S. airstrikes in Yemen and rising threats toward Iran.
On March 18, Trump reportedly urged Russian leader Vladimir Putin to accept a 30-day ceasefire proposal during a phone call. Putin previously emphasized Moscow’s openness to a temporary halt in fighting but raised concerns over Ukraine’s continued military mobilization and foreign arms supplies sustaining Kyiv’s forces. "In politics, what comes after ‘but’ is always more important," notes Nikola Mikovic, a CGTN commentator and foreign policy journalist.
While the U.S. temporarily paused arms deliveries to Ukraine this month, European allies have resisted pressure to follow suit. The EU has reaffirmed its commitment to military support for Kyiv, complicating Moscow’s demand for a "complete cessation of foreign military aid" as a precondition for lasting peace. Despite these hurdles, Putin has ordered a limited 30-day halt to attacks on energy infrastructure, underscoring fragile diplomatic progress.
For global investors and policymakers, the developments highlight shifting geopolitical risks and the challenges of balancing regional conflicts. Researchers warn that a prolonged ceasefire without enforceable safeguards could lead to renewed escalation, particularly if Western arms continue flowing to Ukraine.
Editor’s note: Nikola Mikovic is a special commentator on current affairs for CGTN. The article reflects the author’s opinions and not necessarily those of CGTN.
