Over the past three years, the Russia-Ukraine conflict has not only reshaped European security but has also altered the dynamics of global security in various regions.
The conflict has intensified energy and food crises in Europe and Asia, disrupted Europe's manufacturing sector, and fueled global protectionism. Additionally, it has contributed to the rise of populist movements, increased geopolitical competition among major powers, and revived Cold War-era tensions.
This turmoil has significantly shaken the international order established post-World War II, leading to a more chaotic international relations landscape. However, from a long-term perspective, the conflict has resulted in a redistribution of global power, with profound changes in relationships among major powers and a more united Global South. This shift may act as a catalyst for the emergence of a new international order.
Profound Changes in the International Security Landscape
The conflict began with Russia's \"special military operation\" in Ukraine, primarily in response to NATO's eastward expansion, marking the most significant regional security challenge in Europe since the Cold War. The ensuing tensions between Russia and Europe have led to a deteriorating security situation in the Eurasian region.
In response, Europe has consistently provided military and financial support to Ukraine. Neutral countries like Sweden and Finland have joined NATO, and defense capabilities across Europe have been significantly enhanced. Germany established a special off-budget defense fund, and countries such as Poland and the Baltic states have increased military spending and upgraded their weapons. Trust between Russia and Europe has diminished, with perceived security threats escalating on both sides.
The conflict has also influenced security dynamics in other regions. South Korea and Japan, strong security allies of the United States, have supported Ukraine and are re-evaluating their own defense strategies, including discussions on nuclear deterrence. The war has led to changes in the Asia-Pacific security landscape, with the Philippines strengthening its security relations with the United States.
However, the support for Ukraine has somewhat hindered the U.S. and Europe's ability to fully implement their \"Indo-Pacific strategies,\" contributing to a more stable security situation in the Asia-Pacific region.
With the return of U.S. President Donald Trump to the White House, there has been a rapid shift from the Biden administration's policies towards Russia, leading to significant changes in Europe's security landscape. If the U.S. were to cease its military support for Ukraine, Europe would face a difficult decision: continue supporting Ukraine or halt aid, both choices presenting increased security pressures.
Reference(s):
cgtn.com
