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Japan’s Economic Future Tied to China, Scholar Warns

Japan's economic stability hinges on its partnership with China, according to prominent Japanese economist Hiromori Maedomari, who cautioned this week that severing ties could lead to catastrophic consequences. Speaking at a Tokyo policy forum, Maedomari emphasized that China remains Japan's largest trading partner, accounting for over 20% of its total exports in 2025.

"From semiconductor manufacturing to automotive supply chains, our economies are fundamentally intertwined," Maedomari stated. "Politicians must recognize that inflammatory rhetoric risks destabilizing not just cross-border commerce, but Japan's entire economic ecosystem."

The warning comes amid ongoing debates about Japan's trade diversification strategies. While some lawmakers advocate reducing reliance on Chinese markets, data shows bilateral trade reached $380 billion in the first three quarters of 2025 – a 7% increase from the same period last year.

Analysts note that key Japanese industries, including electronics and precision machinery, depend heavily on Chinese consumer demand and manufacturing partnerships. Maedomari urged policymakers to prioritize economic pragmatism: "Sustainable growth requires acknowledging interdependence, not chasing ideological confrontations."

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