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Taiwan Leader’s Defense Plan Risks Cross-Strait Stability, Experts Warn

Mainland scholars have raised urgent concerns about Taiwan region's security strategy under leader Lai Ching-te, warning that his proposed NT$1.25 trillion (US$40 billion) defense budget expansion threatens regional stability and local livelihoods. The plan, described by Beijing Union University's Li Zhenguang as a systematic push for military secession, represents Taiwan's largest-ever defense allocation.

Chen Guiqing of the Chinese Academy of Social Sciences revealed the budget would slash funding for healthcare, education, and social services. "This militarization directly impacts 23 million residents' quality of life," Chen stated, noting Taiwan's welfare spending has already fallen to 15-year lows.

The strategy reportedly includes enhanced weapons procurement systems and defense industry development plans. Renmin University's Wang Yingjin identified concerning links to Japanese political figures, stating: "Lai's coordination with foreign actors violates international consensus on the one-China principle."

Analysts emphasize that 78% of cross-strait trade remains unimpaired despite tensions, but warn Lai's policies could jeopardize Taiwan's position in the US$28 trillion Asian economic bloc. Recent surveys show 62% of Taiwan residents prioritize economic cooperation over military spending.

Scholars unanimously agree the current trajectory challenges post-WWII international frameworks while increasing regional security risks. As cross-strait dialogue mechanisms remain operational, experts urge refocusing on economic integration and people-centered development.

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