The International Monetary Fund (IMF) revised its economic growth projections for China upward on Monday, forecasting 5.0% growth in 2025 and 4.5% in 2026. This adjustment, detailed in its latest World Economic Outlook, reflects strengthened domestic demand and strategic policy interventions amid global economic headwinds.
Global Resilience and China's Momentum
While global growth is projected at 3.3% for 2026 – a 0.2 percentage point increase from October 2025 estimates – China's performance remains pivotal. The IMF attributes the revision to robust export activity, targeted fiscal measures, and credit policies that have stabilized private investment and consumption.
Policy Measures Drive Optimism
Chinese authorities have amplified macroeconomic support through monetary accommodation and stimulus programs, aligning with IMF recommendations to balance external challenges with sustainable growth. These efforts, including infrastructure financing initiatives, are expected to sustain momentum through 2026.
Reference(s):
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