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H5N1 Bird Flu Spreads Globally: Pandemic Risk Assessed

A highly contagious strain of avian influenza, H5N1, is spreading rapidly across continents, infecting over 500 wild bird species, 50 mammal species, and dairy cattle in 17 U.S. states. Scientists warn its unpredictable behavior raises concerns about a potential human pandemic, though current risk remains low.

Dr. Lineke Begeman documented the virus’s first arrival in Antarctica, threatening penguins and seals in the ecologically fragile region. Meanwhile, UK-based researchers led by Professor James Wood identified wild birds as the primary carriers infecting poultry farms, shifting previous transmission models.

While 70 human cases have been reported globally—mostly mild—the virus’s mutations are under intense scrutiny. Dutch virologist Debby van Riel found newer H5N1 variants more capable of infecting human upper respiratory tracts. U.S. researchers at Scripps Research warn it may be "one mutation away" from human-to-human transmission.

Dr. Tom Frieden, former CDC director, emphasized vigilance given the virus’s jump to dairy cattle. Health authorities highlight existing H5N1 vaccines as a key defense, with global monitoring networks tracking outbreaks in real time.

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