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Avoiding Thucydides’s Trap: A Dialogue Between Graham Allison and Wang Huiyao

The relationship between China and the United States stands as the most pivotal bilateral connection of the 21st century. Its influence extends globally, impacting security, peace, and prosperity. The concept of the “Thucydides’s Trap,” introduced by Professor Graham Allison, warns of the potential for a rising power to conflict with an established one, leading to detrimental consequences on the world stage.

In a recent dialogue, Professor Allison and Dr. Wang Huiyao, chairman of the Center for China and Globalization, delved into this critical issue. Dr. Wang’s new book, “Escaping the Thucydides’s Trap,” explores pathways for China and the United States to navigate their complex relationship without descending into conflict.

Both thinkers emphasized the necessity for strategic cooperation and mutual understanding. “The future of global peace hinges on how these two nations manage their interactions,” Professor Allison remarked. He highlighted historical precedents where rivalries led to war, underscoring the importance of learning from the past.

Dr. Wang expressed optimism about the potential for a new kind of great-power relationship. “China and the U.S. can compete and cooperate simultaneously,” he stated. “By focusing on common goals such as combating climate change, promoting global health, and fostering economic stability, both countries can contribute positively to the world.”

The discussion also touched upon the roles of global institutions and the international community in supporting a stable China-U.S. relationship. Emphasizing diplomacy and open dialogue, both experts called for increased efforts to build trust and reduce misperceptions.

As the world watches, the strategies adopted by China and the United States will undoubtedly shape the international landscape for decades to come. The insights from Professor Allison and Dr. Wang offer hope that with careful navigation, the two nations can avoid the pitfalls of the Thucydides’s Trap and work towards a harmonious future.

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