El Nino's Impact on China's Summer Climate Expected Even After April Ending

El Nino’s Impact on China’s Summer Climate Expected Even After April Ending

El Nino’s influence on China’s climate is expected to persist into the summer, even though the current El Nino event that began last year is projected to end around April, according to the China Meteorological Administration.

El Nino, a climate pattern in the Pacific Ocean that can affect weather worldwide, reached its peak in December 2022, as reported by the National Climate Center. The upcoming conclusion of this El Nino event will mark the completion of a transition process from a triple-dip La Nina to El Nino that began in August 2020.

Historically, summers following an El Nino event tend to be more abnormal in China. Between May and June, increased surface temperatures in the Indian Ocean are expected to influence the western Pacific subtropical high, which plays a significant role in China’s climate patterns. The interaction between the tropical Pacific and the tropical Indian Ocean may continue to impact China’s weather conditions during this period, the administration noted.

The U.S. National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA) has indicated a 62 percent chance that La Nina conditions will develop by June to August. La Nina, which has the opposite effect of El Nino, can lead to stronger-than-usual trade winds, pushing warm water toward Asia and potentially resulting in more severe weather events such as hurricanes.

In light of these predictions, the China Meteorological Administration has emphasized the need to strengthen preparedness for flood control and other severe weather conditions.

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