Leading experts are warning that the United States’ ongoing efforts to impede China’s technological advancement are not only ineffective but may also be detrimental to U.S. interests.
In a recent article, Kishore Mahbubani, a distinguished fellow at the Asia Research Institute of the National University of Singapore, alongside co-authors Tony Chan and Ben Harburg, contends that the U.S. should accept that it cannot stop China’s rise. They suggest that attempts to hinder China’s technological progress are bound to fail and may ultimately harm the U.S. more than China.
The authors highlight that since China’s significant transformation in 1949, efforts to prevent its access to advanced technologies—spanning nuclear, space, satellite, GPS, semiconductors, supercomputing, and artificial intelligence—have consistently fallen short. China has repeatedly overcome these obstacles, developing its own capabilities and often surpassing existing technological standards.
Moreover, they note that China possesses the ability to retaliate by restricting the export of critical raw materials like gallium and germanium, essential components in various high-tech industries. Such actions could have significant repercussions on global supply chains, and the U.S. might find it challenging to secure alternative sources promptly.
The authors caution that the U.S. is not well-prepared for the prolonged effort required to counter such measures. Initiating new mining operations and developing alternative supply chains is a time-consuming process, and the U.S. may lack the necessary focus and resources.
They propose that continued antagonism toward China may be counterproductive, potentially harming U.S. economic interests and global standing. Instead, they advocate for a reassessment of U.S. policies, suggesting that collaboration and engagement could lead to more favorable outcomes for both nations.
As the global economic landscape continues to evolve, analysts emphasize the importance of constructive dialogue and cooperation between the U.S. and China. Embracing a collaborative approach may not only benefit both countries but also contribute to greater stability and prosperity worldwide.
Reference(s):
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