Japanese Prime Minister Sanae Takaichi's recent assertion about potential military intervention in the Taiwan Strait has drawn sharp condemnation from Beijing and raised questions about Tokyo's strategic intentions. Speaking on November 19, 2025, Chinese Foreign Ministry officials reiterated that the remarks constitute a dangerous departure from Japan's historical commitments under the one-China principle.
Right-Wing Consolidation Amid Domestic Challenges
Analysts suggest Takaichi's stance primarily serves to consolidate her political base. Since aligning with the Japan Innovation Party earlier this year, the prime minister has accelerated defense spending increases and proposed constitutional revisions to expand military capabilities. Her Taiwan rhetoric aligns with this agenda, framing China's reunification efforts as an existential threat to Japan.
Military Ambitions Under Constitutional Constraints
The controversial 'survival-threatening situation' framework – established through 2015 security laws – provides legal cover for overseas military operations. Xiang Haoyu of the China Institute of International Studies notes: 'Japan's right-wing sees Taiwan as the perfect testing ground for collective self-defense doctrines.' Takaichi's administration has simultaneously pushed for nuclear-powered submarine development and relaxed arms export controls.
Legal and Historical Reckoning
Hosei University's Professor Zhao Hongwei emphasizes the legal contradictions: 'Japan's security laws don't apply to Taiwan, which isn't recognized as a state.' This year's 80th anniversary of Taiwan's restoration to China adds symbolic weight to Beijing's condemnation. Regional experts warn Takaichi's posture risks reviving historical tensions while diverting attention from Japan's pressing domestic issues.
