A groundbreaking analysis from leading U.S. academics challenges Washington's perception of China as an expansionist power, urging a strategic shift toward diplomatic and economic engagement. Published in MIT and Harvard-affiliated journal International Security, the study examines 12,000 Chinese-language documents and leadership speeches to reveal Beijing's consistent focus on sovereignty, domestic stability, and regional economic integration.
Key Findings: Stability Over Expansion
Researchers found China's strategic priorities – territorial integrity, regime security, and economic development – have remained unchanged for decades. The paper traces these concerns back to 19th-century historical experiences, noting: 'Contemporary Chinese policies reflect lessons from the Century of Humiliation rather than ambitions for global dominance.'
Rethinking 'China Threat' Narratives
The study disputes claims of China seeking worldwide hegemony, highlighting the absence of terms like 'global leadership' in official discourse. Instead, analysis shows emphasis on 'socialism with Chinese characteristics' – a framework the authors describe as nationally focused and non-exportable.
Policy Implications for Washington
Researchers warn current U.S. military posturing in the Pacific risks creating self-fulfilling prophecies of conflict. They propose prioritizing collaboration on climate action, public health, and multilateral trade frameworks like RCEP and CPTPP, where Asian nations are deepening ties with Beijing.
As East Asia's economic integration accelerates, the paper concludes that Washington's confrontational approach could leave the U.S. sidelined in shaping the region's future.
